South American Leagues · resolved market
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81d2403ce713ba61c22148ba2fdecef5799f5fc1541fdbe664615db58fb0b839
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 79c | 25,317$19,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.77 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 20,678$11,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,514.22 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 21c | 16,647$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.78 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 21c | 3,634$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.05 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 1,123$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.1 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 78c | 953.39$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.75 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Under | 27c | 925.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 26c | 884.63$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 74c | 800$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.34 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 23c | 517.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 21c | 476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 23c | 401.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 37c | 298.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 23c | 248.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 236.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 213.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 21c | 145.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 38c | 131.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 23c | 126.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked Over | 79c | 126.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 25c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 20c | 98.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 73c | 96.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 85.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Over | 50c | 79.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 32c | 67.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…5c2fbacked Over | 64c | 62.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…f414backed Under | 40c | 61.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…7b1abacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…9266backed Under | 65c | 29.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 58c | 27.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…b598backed Under | 49c | 24.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.