TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Santos FCof Santos FC, Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,280 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC30c478.56$146 inLost-$145.5831136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Santos FC69c386.72$267 inWon+$119.828660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC57c376.62$214 inLost-$213.822,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Santos FC63c247.51$157 inWon+$90.92050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Santos FC11c230$25 inWon+$204.740242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Santos FC65c207.59$135 inWon+$72.667742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Santos FC17c91.62$15 inWon+$76.445,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC39c84.62$33 inLost-$335141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Santos FC14c75$11 inWon+$64.51283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+147.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Santos FC16c65.62$10 inWon+$55.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC21c65$14 inLost-$13.6589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santos FC66c62.57$41 inWon+$21.148,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC20c50$10 inLost-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC49c22$11 inLost-$10.7844843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.