South American Leagues · resolved market

Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9ee15f545195531b080d4dbd82199f93e1e66b952b2ba0bf2529512e7d9d343

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,243 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x67bf…f983backed Over	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	25.5%28 W · 82 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over	40c	5,460$2,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,179.19	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	65c	5,063$3,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,794.48	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	118	17.8%21 W · 97 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	9c	2,360$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.4	491	36.3%178 W · 313 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under	60c	2,225$1,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$881.64	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under	77c	2,152$1,655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.16	290	37.9%110 W · 180 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	55c	1,641$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.13	538	36.8%198 W · 340 L	-24.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Under	56c	1,358$759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.87	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	17c	1,205$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.75	246	65.9%162 W · 84 L	+26.2wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	51c	1,130$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.82	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over	8c	925$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over	49c	867.95$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.72	79	25.3%20 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	24c	670.89$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.04	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	41c	653.86$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.26	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	41c	638.48$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.93	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	43c	518.73$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.89	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over	49c	404.08$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+106.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	37c	383.87$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.17	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	9c	331.38$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.64	1,537	45.2%695 W · 842 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	51c	324.66$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.08	89	28.1%25 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Over	39c	300$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Under	47c	284.62$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.85	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over	34c	259.18$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	156	25.6%40 W · 116 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	42c	256.19$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.15	350	46.3%162 W · 188 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over	43c	243.29$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.93	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6199…2852backed Over	20c	215.74$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.71	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over	25c	193.28$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.85	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	27c	192.43$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.59	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	55c	171.95$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.3	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	16c	166.3$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.07	269	65.4%176 W · 93 L	+48.9wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under	75c	163.28$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.82	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+29%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under	75c	160.77$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.58	268	35.1%94 W · 174 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	47c	159.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	769	51.5%396 W · 373 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87f8…9ff4backed Under	64c	159.22$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.9	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over	51c	148$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.32	219	38.8%85 W · 134 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over	52c	140$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over	8c	139.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab5…db66backed Over	24c	125.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+109%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	49c	123.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.84	457	46.8%214 W · 243 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	52c	121$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.49	720	58.8%423 W · 297 L	+29.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	30c	114.03$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	852	20.7%176 W · 676 L	-85.2wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Over	24c	104.16$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	+312.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	49c	102.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.01	1,328	57%757 W · 571 L	+57.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	98.79$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.42	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	18c	91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	448	43.8%196 W · 252 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under	76c	90.82$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.56	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	17c	90.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.81	313	55.6%174 W · 139 L	+24.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	32c	87.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.17	896	45.4%407 W · 489 L	-23.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	18c	85.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	336	58.3%196 W · 140 L	+32.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over	19c	80.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	72	62.5%45 W · 27 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under	41c	64.92$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.3	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over	28c	64$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	88	33%29 W · 59 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4801…6de9backed Over	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over	41c	54.68$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Under	73c	54.39$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.42	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	127	55.9%71 W · 56 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under	68c	47.92$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.44	191	64.4%123 W · 68 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafcf…72f6backed Under	55c	29.73$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.26	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over	50c	29.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	311	36.7%114 W · 197 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Under	80c	23.81$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.76	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-5.4wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	60c	22.4$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe573…ae05backed Over	49c	21.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under	63c	21.1$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.81	107	66.4%71 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	1,038	49.4%513 W · 525 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5this page
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 0.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 1.5Under won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 2.5Under won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5Under won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 0.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Over won
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 2.5Over won
Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event