TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,094 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c7,312$302 inLost-$301.685,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over0c5,525$15 inLost-$14.567262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over5c1,440$72 inLost-$7217440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c1,209$829 inWon+$379.958,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over17c885.35$154 inLost-$153.767925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Over21c822.43$173 inLost-$173.0213748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over27c583.33$160 inLost-$16011039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under74c414.93$305 inWon+$109.932433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over23c392.62$92 inLost-$92.078746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over16c219.85$35 inLost-$3515625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under55c168.48$93 inWon+$75.859920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over42c159.98$67 inLost-$66.7789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over42c142.31$60 inLost-$6076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under55c112.26$62 inWon+$50.427248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c103.52$73 inWon+$30.133,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over11c98.06$11 inLost-$11.2329037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c68.92$27 inLost-$26.9251750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over44c50$22 inLost-$221,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over42c36.16$15 inLost-$15.264040%16 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under70c28$20 inWon+$8.3619155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under67c26.11$17 inWon+$8.6995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under66c22.94$15 inWon+$7.8772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under55c19.64$11 inWon+$8.747549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under55c19.64$11 inWon+$8.741741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under56c19.46$11 inWon+$8.564938.8%19 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.