TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,786 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c12,169$4,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,996.268,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over65c6,168$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.234626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over59c6,092$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.332,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under2c3,512$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5860%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c1,601$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.851,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over62c1,383$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.5212156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over37c1,369$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.5211338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c1,279$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.541,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Under3c1,144$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.89137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+669.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Under4c1,120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over72c1,069$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.665660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under38c1,025$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3895851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106624.2%16 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick15cpaid+312.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-93.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under20c946.05$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.373243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c942.5$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.62,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under60c833$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.851749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under59c800$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under16c784.74$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5621252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over72c689.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.973076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c688.16$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.143,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over55c681.5$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8819155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under35c671.42$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2382433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c552.08$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.795,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under40c524.75$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under32c506.55$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.211,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Under61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under60c481.91$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.331,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over61c412.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2219447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under39c332.05$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.749920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over63c277.62$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.721833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c258.55$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.571,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under43c232.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under43c225$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under21c222.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under59c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over59c167.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0315625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over41c139.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5914643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under26c133$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0718426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over41c130.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.922931%9 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8063…7832backed Under59c124.07$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over63c122.71$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.451478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under45c108.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0619164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under59c108.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.782,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf3…4807backed Under19c102.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-84.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5719742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377463.5%47 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over66c90.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.57467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under41c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.17241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under21c89.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.291,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over63c89.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.947248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2476…7eeebacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.375164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over64c78.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.414858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over40c77.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.474753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over62c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2748547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under33c60.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over65c55.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8350643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under57c55.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8912755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under41c55.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.663061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over39c53.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.620846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc0…9d9cbacked Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over43c49.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4914149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa069…262ebacked Under31c49.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc60…6c08backed Under40c47.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over41c46.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over68c46.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9951945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under60c45.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2618557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over74c43.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…79b1backed Under58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Under41c41.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over41c40.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.073256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad84…dcf1backed Over62c35.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under35c33.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8811944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under59c33.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14ce…15febacked Under59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over45c33.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.519244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over45c33.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.47843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Over43c32.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.562445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under58c31.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0425345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over41c25.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-41.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over60c25.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x186c…b1fbbacked Under58c22.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over64c21.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.533060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8521359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…a070backed Under63c17.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Over73c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.328775.9%66 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b2a…4214backed Over67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.