South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2852bbcf342f09c9a35a08b209c79b3e970a4e4992c1edafd0d4f89bb40461c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 2c | 6,565$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 2,799$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.19 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…a2c7backed Under | 6c | 2,115$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 1,369$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 52c | 811.75$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.48 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 66c | 800$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 42c | 713.73$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.88 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Under | 47c | 638.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 44c | 613.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 52c | 431.13$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 400.06$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 45c | 399.22$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 48c | 257.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 49c | 206.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 181.42$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa59…d4cebacked Under | 44c | 142.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 139.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 49c | 114.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Under | 78c | 113.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 96.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…fc2bbacked Over | 20c | 95.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 57c | 95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 43c | 82.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…b1d0backed Under | 42c | 80.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Over | 48c | 71.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 57c | 68.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 68.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 48c | 67.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 55c | 67.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 52c | 65.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 37c | 59.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Under | 56c | 57.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 54.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 73c | 53.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 50c | 47.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 46.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 40c | 43.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed Under | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 80c | 36.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 76c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 50c | 26.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…2ef1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 55c | 18.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 57c | 18.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.