South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1599c67abcc76c6567c9b731e49ddbe7c3dd0602f848e0c581a341f0e8b0b659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coritiba FBCof SE Palmeiras, Coritiba FBC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SE Palmeiras | 33c | 9,851$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.61 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Coritiba FBC | 62c | 6,372$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.14 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Coritiba FBC | 72c | 3,649$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked SE Palmeiras | 31c | 3,449$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.16 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SE Palmeiras | 28c | 1,936$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.63 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Coritiba FBC | 59c | 1,516$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed SE Palmeiras | 8c | 1,031$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked SE Palmeiras | 27c | 568.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Coritiba FBC | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked SE Palmeiras | 11c | 352.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6616…878bbacked Coritiba FBC | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Coritiba FBC | 68c | 205.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed SE Palmeiras | 11c | 165.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Coritiba FBC | 75c | 85.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SE Palmeiras | 14c | 83.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SE Palmeiras | 23c | 78.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Coritiba FBC | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SE Palmeiras | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Coritiba FBC | 62c | 63.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Coritiba FBC | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 58.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SE Palmeiras | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SE Palmeiras | 39c | 45.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Coritiba FBC | 63c | 41.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked SE Palmeiras | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SE Palmeiras | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SE Palmeiras | 35c | 36.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Coritiba FBC | 60c | 36.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SE Palmeiras | 43c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed SE Palmeiras | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Coritiba FBC | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Coritiba FBC | 65c | 27.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed SE Palmeiras | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Coritiba FBC | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Coritiba FBC | 71c | 22.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Coritiba FBC | 73c | 22.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed SE Palmeiras | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Coritiba FBC | 71c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.