South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa7e7c6011f5b8196ef0a0180c9f388d37bf5c35f043ed1a2b6a264ffc992d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SE Palmeirasof SE Palmeiras, Coritiba FBC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SE Palmeiras | 47c | 7,323$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.28 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Coritiba FBC | 25c | 7,155$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.81 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SE Palmeiras | 70c | 6,042$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.12 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Coritiba FBC | 45c | 4,910$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.33 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed SE Palmeiras | 73c | 3,781$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.62 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Coritiba FBC | 19c | 3,086$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.05 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Coritiba FBC | 78c | 2,500$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.24 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Coritiba FBC | 78c | 2,412$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.57 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked SE Palmeiras | 22c | 2,203$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.15 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked SE Palmeiras | 25c | 1,980$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SE Palmeiras | 23c | 1,868$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.34 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Coritiba FBC | 77c | 1,861$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.06 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Coritiba FBC | 27c | 1,771$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Coritiba FBC | 42c | 707.46$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Coritiba FBC | 19c | 663.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Coritiba FBC | 78c | 640$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Coritiba FBC | 49c | 536.23$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.43 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Coritiba FBC | 73c | 504$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.92 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed SE Palmeiras | 74c | 431.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked SE Palmeiras | 22c | 421$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SE Palmeiras | 25c | 383.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Coritiba FBC | 79c | 314.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Coritiba FBC | 17c | 310.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Coritiba FBC | 34c | 286.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Coritiba FBC | 78c | 280$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked SE Palmeiras | 74c | 267$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed SE Palmeiras | 65c | 247.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Coritiba FBC | 75c | 246.93$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Coritiba FBC | 75c | 245.28$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Coritiba FBC | 21c | 241.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed SE Palmeiras | 26c | 238.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed SE Palmeiras | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked SE Palmeiras | 26c | 220.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Coritiba FBC | 13c | 218$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Coritiba FBC | 77c | 179.37$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Coritiba FBC | 17c | 162$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Coritiba FBC | 16c | 146.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Coritiba FBC | 76c | 110$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Coritiba FBC | 14c | 103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Coritiba FBC | 78c | 102.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed SE Palmeiras | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SE Palmeiras | 23c | 96.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Coritiba FBC | 77c | 86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Coritiba FBC | 74c | 69.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed SE Palmeiras | 67c | 68.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Coritiba FBC | 33c | 67.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Coritiba FBC | 34c | 57.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Coritiba FBC | 75c | 50.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Coritiba FBC | 78c | 46.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Coritiba FBC | 76c | 39.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Coritiba FBC | 70c | 38.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e902backed Coritiba FBC | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…25fbbacked Coritiba FBC | 34c | 33.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked SE Palmeiras | 75c | 32.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked SE Palmeiras | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Coritiba FBC | 34c | 30.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed SE Palmeiras | 75c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…30d8backed Coritiba FBC | 76c | 26.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Coritiba FBC | 80c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed SE Palmeiras | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Coritiba FBC | 55c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed Coritiba FBC | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Coritiba FBC | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…6c08backed Coritiba FBC | 75c | 18.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Coritiba FBC | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Coritiba FBC | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2300backed Coritiba FBC | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.