South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7e0b55249747892a63751a541692d347d3cf02f69abde95e4b8de4eafc814c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 68c | 8,001$5,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.32 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 3,365$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 68c | 2,161$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.7 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,951$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over | 68c | 1,618$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.65 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 23c | 1,302$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Over | 68c | 840.89$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 32c | 781$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 762.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 33c | 545.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 69c | 293.29$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 32c | 256$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 219.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 67c | 125.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 33c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 33c | 89.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 67c | 76.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 69c | 72.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 32c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…30d8backed Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 32c | 59.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 70c | 56.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 32c | 46.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 68c | 40.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 65c | 25.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 70c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: Coritiba FBC O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 5.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.