Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x320d25b66425a983fcc0001b1c7c61b4db3d86aa547df07142c22798d6d0f554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 527.7$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.98 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 506.64$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 55c | 399.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 50c | 346.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 38c | 299.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 45c | 250.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 242.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 227.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 199.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 61c | 162.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 60c | 116.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 116.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 41c | 108.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 39c | 104.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked No | 80c | 79.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 79.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…1cecbacked Yes | 61c | 79.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed No | 43c | 70.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 39c | 59.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 63c | 58.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 44.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 44.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 57c | 42.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 36.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…0f85backed Yes | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 32.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 31.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 60c | 31.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 40c | 29.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 40c | 28.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 39c | 27.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 78c | 16.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to AdvanceBeşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.