TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Under37c24,500$9,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,06518651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over63c21,877$13,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,096.6764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over65c8,021$5,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.9928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over63c7,265$4,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.3525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c6,775$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under36c5,629$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.261,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c3,089$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over64c2,743$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.653964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Over65c2,155$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.354961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over67c2,004$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.4719246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c2,000$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.422,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over51c2,000$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.376055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c1,800$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over56c1,597$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.741,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under37c1,246$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.1810138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under49c1,151$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.994050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under37c900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33312146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under35c785.31$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under34c784.8$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9811145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked Over64c755.87$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over56c718.8$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7223652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Over64c682.45$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under44c600$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under34c571.55$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over64c545.79$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7910861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under38c539.13$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Under39c501.87$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.684146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over64c497.97$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2718445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Over65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14013555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14045251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under11c399.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under45c380$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over63c317.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0224159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under40c315$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12618853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5de…33b5backed Over63c312.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over65c290.06$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.655435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under36c279.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.161384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+48%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under37c263.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4325554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Under38c262.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over63c246.03$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0316261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under35c223.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.194047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under23c208.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3725045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8018653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9045445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…7f9bbacked Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over64c161$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over64c156.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4613757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a8…a8adbacked Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over62c154.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5529458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Under39c141.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Under39c128.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over64c125.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6813554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over62c125.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under35c123.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3616048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Over64c122.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.029537.9%36 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c113.08$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.271,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under37c110.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.897532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under28c108$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under35c107.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under47c106.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7825340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88f…34cebacked Over68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over58c102$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3659650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…591abacked Over65c93.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c92.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78f…c67bbacked Over63c85.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over54c82.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.072070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under35c82.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9115759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Over63c78.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.592040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under50c73.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.776636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under38c73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x592b…1a60backed Over64c70.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.45per pick42cpaid+128.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under40c64.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5311364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64a0…ad68backed Over65c58.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under23c58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3452053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Over65c57.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.194261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cea…38f0backed Over63c56.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under40c54.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7340750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Under39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205461.1%33 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under34c49.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4736045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over58c48.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2960250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over63c48.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.021,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae0…b443backed Under22c46.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.181233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over63c39.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5312150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under40c35.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3549247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8852…0cdabacked Over62c31.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7334…cc1cbacked Under38c30.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.692642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under36c28.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1638751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Over64c28.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.192650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Over62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59271.7%66 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dbe…f3debacked Over64c21.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da6…1615backed Over66c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.