TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,708 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over42c21,074$8,831 inLost-$8,831.3214829.7%44 W · 104 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c19,883$11,853 inWon+$8,029.855,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under62c2,223$1,387 inWon+$8362828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under59c1,824$1,068 inWon+$756.211,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over1c1,800$18 inLost-$1817440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Over19c1,321$249 inLost-$248.6310828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over41c1,207$500 inLost-$5001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c1,016$595 inWon+$421.121,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over35c923.19$321 inLost-$320.941612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c862$500 inWon+$362.042,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under65c849.57$550 inWon+$299.973243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c674.44$269 inLost-$268.888,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over40c382.49$152 inLost-$151.713,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over65c185.54$120 inLost-$12076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a0…ad68backed Over60c133.33$80 inLost-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over58c125$73 inLost-$72.52560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over36c122$44 inLost-$44.1289645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under59c119.6$71 inWon+$49.0440451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over53c112$59 inLost-$59.361,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under69c100$69 inWon+$3135246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under74c98.84$74 inWon+$25.2746449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1218…511dbacked Over57c82.74$47 inLost-$47.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over58c81.21$47 inLost-$47.437742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over45c55.55$25 inLost-$2511328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under58c50$29 inWon+$2141262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed Under60c42.44$25 inWon+$17.042070%14 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c41$17 inWon+$24.191,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over41c39.76$16 inLost-$16.4950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over38c36$14 inLost-$13.6872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.481872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under42c32$13 inWon+$18.5689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over40c31.91$13 inLost-$12.7569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over40c25$10 inLost-$1010044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fd…2688backed Under60c24.8$15 inWon+$9.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under58c19.05$11 inWon+$814563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.