South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x985c843eeca025a2a83fc50d3d6013abe7ac69fa821395f98c890ce5f01bb046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 50c | 6,936$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.16 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 5,767$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 53c | 4,690$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.31 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 1,159$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.2 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,063$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 69c | 901.41$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.23 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 44c | 699.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Yes | 59c | 680.94$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 303.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 44c | 244.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 225.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 217.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked No | 49c | 202.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 48c | 172.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 50c | 163.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 48c | 137.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 17c | 131$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 32c | 128.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Yes | 53c | 104.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 42c | 86.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 50c | 83.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 60c | 83.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 47c | 71.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Yes | 53c | 67.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 49c | 63.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 37c | 62.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 46c | 59.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +179.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed No | 55c | 47.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 61c | 45.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…dc99backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 49c | 31.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 52c | 29.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 49c | 26.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 25.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 47c | 24.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 60c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…ca8fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…7c91backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Club Bolívar 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Club Bolívar O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Club Bolívar O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Grêmio FBPA O/U 0.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Grêmio FBPA O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.