South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x811034e5feb3da6eccd6de528c09d5af78a3721099e272bd947e1eb754fdc7e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 16,667$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 65c | 10,656$6,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.53 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 26c | 9,152$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.76 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 8,707$6,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.41 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 2,985$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 67c | 2,665$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.12 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 62c | 1,852$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 50c | 1,491$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.73 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 79c | 1,422$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.12 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 75c | 958.3$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.18 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 72c | 933.02$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 872.62$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 11c | 643.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 79c | 550.11$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.07 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 74c | 537$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 32c | 439.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.29 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 29c | 429.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…1e6ebacked Under | 79c | 428.45$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 65c | 408.55$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…710fbacked Under | 20c | 375.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 75c | 337.45$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 58c | 286.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 75c | 283.33$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Under | 71c | 281.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 80c | 277.46$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.97 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 33c | 262.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.19 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 18c | 255.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 225.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 26c | 204.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 47c | 180.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 38c | 152.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 9c | 147$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 75c | 135.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 74c | 134$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 40c | 126.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 18c | 123.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 39c | 117.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 51c | 116.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 15c | 105$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Under | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 40c | 99.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 75c | 83.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 35c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 75c | 62.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 80c | 59.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 75c | 56.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 65c | 45.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 59c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 35c | 40.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 34.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 33.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Under | 38c | 31.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…4cbbbacked Under | 72c | 29.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 71c | 25.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…020cbacked Under | 53c | 24.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 75c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 78c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…1129backed Under | 71c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5this page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Club Bolívar 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Club Bolívar O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Club Bolívar O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Grêmio FBPA O/U 0.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Grêmio FBPA O/U 1.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)Grêmio FBPA won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)Club Bolívar won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)Club Bolívar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.