TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: Grêmio FBPA O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,082 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Over46c2,107$961 inLost-$960.721533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c1,682$782 inWon+$899.293,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,066$548 inWon+$517.848,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over63c790.57$498 inLost-$498.0611565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over65c769.23$500 inLost-$5002564%16 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost-$1006119.7%12 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over65c199.97$130 inLost-$129.9811059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Over45c60$27 inLost-$275234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost-$205046%23 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed Over37c39.68$15 inLost-$14.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Over70c35.11$25 inLost-$24.581060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under58c28.51$16 inWon+$12.169453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under59c23.93$14 inWon+$9.8150656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed Over49c22.45$11 inLost-$111662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.