Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899f6fd2b7142a47bb7939186aa85e74f8873178be34a2f0ff37c0fcc7b95f11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Borges | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sinner | 78c | 686.25$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Borges | 22c | 409.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Borges | 16c | 363.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…41f1backed Borges | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Sinner | 72c | 277.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Borges | 21c | 271.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Borges | 26c | 148.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…dd03backed Borges | 29c | 134.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Borges | 25c | 107.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Borges | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1565…1eb7backed Sinner | 71c | 70.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…eb2dbacked Sinner | 75c | 68.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…6bf6backed Sinner | 67c | 53.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Borges | 24c | 46.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Borges | 27c | 37.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Sinner | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Sinner | 70c | 30.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Sinner | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Borgesthis page
- Jannik Sinner vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs BorgesSinner won
- Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs BorgesSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Borges (+2.5)Sinner won
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno BorgesJannik Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.