South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75c6aba41d7385483383e9a36a9b5bd2ba44da03d87034485e51204e0fac6763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 55c | 1,903$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.4 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 1,212$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.62 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 815.14$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.29 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 63c | 659.57$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 13c | 583.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.01 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Yes | 68c | 515.91$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 37c | 404.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 396.04$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…a11cbacked Yes | 13c | 392.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yes | 12c | 341.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 250.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 6c | 202.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…10e8backed Yes | 10c | 202.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 62c | 192.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 71c | 153.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 70c | 150.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 24c | 148.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed Yes | 17c | 110$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 101.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…90b5backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 36c | 95.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 13c | 92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 12c | 91.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 58c | 86.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 72c | 85.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 49c | 84.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked No | 37c | 83.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 68c | 73.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 72c | 67.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 36c | 62.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 37c | 59.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 65c | 59.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…55e2backed Yes | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 40c | 53.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 45c | 46.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 42c | 45.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed No | 56c | 35.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes | 80c | 33.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed No | 38c | 28.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 26.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.