South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9969e3a5adb8606512aaa1b529f883431221fe60cd199c5dd485e785776bf55f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 5c | 41,092$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.55 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,735$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 5c | 4,150$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 6c | 3,455$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.75 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Yes | 7c | 1,513$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,491$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 6c | 1,450$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 6c | 910.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 6c | 636.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…1399backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 405$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 5c | 401.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…712bbacked Yes | 5c | 391$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 5c | 272.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Yes | 20c | 75.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 80c | 13.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-21?this page
- Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.