South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f7e386248b807364c6955e2f6d68a9bfe4b6943aecd73f68e0da93236fbb72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 71c | 5,371$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 29c | 4,963$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.21 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 26c | 1,989$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.07 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,139$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 4c | 945.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 803.3$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 28c | 720.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 621.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 58c | 605$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 77c | 437.56$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 354.03$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 346.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 30c | 299.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 10c | 296.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 64c | 275.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Yes | 31c | 230$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…10e6backed Yes | 30c | 149.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 14c | 141.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…7e19backed Yes | 26c | 129.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 126.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yes | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 101.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 97.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 93.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 28c | 91.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 35c | 90.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 26c | 88.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 87.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 71c | 82.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 72c | 77.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…e2c2backed No | 71c | 76.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…4171backed No | 71c | 72.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 63.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b5a2backed Yes | 41c | 61.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 75c | 51.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 45.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 30c | 43.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 70c | 42.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 44c | 41.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 48c | 41.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 38c | 39.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 69c | 36.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 36.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed No | 75c | 26.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 71c | 21.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 74c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 73c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25?Yes won
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.