Tennis · resolved market
Pozoblanco: Yanki Erel vs Luka Pavlovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a510da5a3d30f70f3f3f0dad8f8937d7461c1b7cb5ed9d1a8e82f29ef8fb038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yanki Erelof Yanki Erel, Luka Pavlovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luka Pavlovic | 39c | 4,346$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luka Pavlovic | 25c | 3,999$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 3,401$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Yanki Erel | 49c | 2,803$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.47 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Luka Pavlovic | 43c | 2,332$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…ca6abacked Luka Pavlovic | 22c | 1,958$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yanki Erel | 48c | 812.89$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.14 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luka Pavlovic | 15c | 699.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 651.84$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.44 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Luka Pavlovic | 50c | 584.15$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.34 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luka Pavlovic | 43c | 568.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.93 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…e51dbacked Yanki Erel | 49c | 509.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.16 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…b709backed Luka Pavlovic | 45c | 448.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 42c | 439.54$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.82 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yanki Erel | 49c | 426$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Yanki Erel | 67c | 421.88$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Luka Pavlovic | 27c | 373.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked Luka Pavlovic | 44c | 298.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Luka Pavlovic | 52c | 298$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Yanki Erel | 49c | 276.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luka Pavlovic | 10c | 248.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Yanki Erel | 55c | 247.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Luka Pavlovic | 27c | 215.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Luka Pavlovic | 22c | 212.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed Yanki Erel | 52c | 205.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Yanki Erel | 49c | 204.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Yanki Erel | 55c | 201.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Luka Pavlovic | 8c | 182.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yanki Erel | 42c | 146.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 140.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yanki Erel | 46c | 137.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Yanki Erel | 78c | 131.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yanki Erel | 75c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 42c | 121.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…37b1backed Luka Pavlovic | 42c | 119.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 109.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…453fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 102.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yanki Erel | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luka Pavlovic | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yanki Erel | 57c | 98.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yanki Erel | 48c | 89.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…a5fcbacked Luka Pavlovic | 43c | 89.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…27c8backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 84.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yanki Erel | 55c | 82.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yanki Erel | 59c | 75.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Luka Pavlovic | 46c | 73.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Yanki Erel | 62c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 60.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 58.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Luka Pavlovic | 48c | 55.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Yanki Erel | 46c | 52.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 58c | 50.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Yanki Erel | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 48.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Luka Pavlovic | 49c | 45.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yanki Erel | 58c | 42.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…e8dbbacked Luka Pavlovic | 47c | 42.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Yanki Erel | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yanki Erel | 50c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yanki Erel | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Yanki Erel | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Yanki Erel | 51c | 39.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Luka Pavlovic | 44c | 38.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Yanki Erel | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…2202backed Yanki Erel | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Yanki Erel | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yanki Erel | 49c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Luka Pavlovic | 51c | 25.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yanki Erel | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Yanki Erel | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yanki Erel | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Yanki Erel | 51c | 19.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.