Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f29a7b0b5b4d1dae435f3a095fb94536b53f71dd52ece77fe7f8b70be58fb10

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jannik Sinnerof Jannik Sinner, Shintaro Mochizuki
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $732,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $690,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	70,000$2,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,444.72	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Shintaro Mochizuki	1c	62,116$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.51	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	34,445$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.92	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	20,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	183	15.8%29 W · 154 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	20,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	119	41.2%49 W · 70 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	19,435$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	246	31.3%77 W · 169 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3359…81c2backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	17,500$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	16,025$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.02	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	15,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	144	43.8%63 W · 81 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	13,586$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.05	2,485	35.9%893 W · 1,592 L	-28.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Shintaro Mochizuki	1c	12,000$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.99	2,281	52%1,187 W · 1,094 L	+82.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	10,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5,261	28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L	-19.4wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	10,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	333	46.2%154 W · 179 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	10,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	317	36.9%117 W · 200 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	10,000$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326	609	43.3%264 W · 345 L	-24.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	10,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	582	32%186 W · 396 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	10,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	168	25%42 W · 126 L	-14.2wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	9,999$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.97	2,174	36.9%802 W · 1,372 L	+39.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shintaro Mochizuki	2c	8,843$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.98	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Shintaro Mochizuki	1c	8,503$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.25	263	55.1%145 W · 118 L	+36.9wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	8,000$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	123	22%27 W · 96 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	7,339$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.09	460	30.4%140 W · 320 L	-18.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	6,946$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.37	785	36.1%283 W · 502 L	+36.6wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	6,329$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.86	4,934	41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L	-77.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Shintaro Mochizuki	1c	6,292$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.21	4,703	49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L	+166.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	6,258$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.74	2,462	38.5%948 W · 1,514 L	+93.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a72…17c0backed Shintaro Mochizuki	7c	6,107$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	6,000$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.77	1,421	28.6%407 W · 1,014 L	+4.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	5,000$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	4,572$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	717	25.2%181 W · 536 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…635abacked Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	4,142$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	3,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6262…b5c0backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	3,410$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.93	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	3,125$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	645	40.2%259 W · 386 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	3,027$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf203…bffabacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	3,000$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	3,000$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	2,933$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.25	3,661	45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	2,827$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.87	1,658	49.9%828 W · 830 L	+7.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	2,772$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.92	2,375	51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L	+8.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	2,758$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.64	165	53.9%89 W · 76 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	2,700$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	132	37.9%50 W · 82 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	2,500$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	252	44.4%112 W · 140 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4e…4d07backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	2,500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	2,334$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.21	450	36%162 W · 288 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	2,299$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.84	1,206	8%96 W · 1,110 L	+17.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	2,209$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.27	226	47.8%108 W · 118 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Shintaro Mochizuki	2c	2,203$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.89	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	2,121$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	2,081$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.07	482	14.1%68 W · 414 L	-14.8wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	2,066$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.98	568	27.3%155 W · 413 L	+23.1wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+25%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	2,024$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.22	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	2,000$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	248	40.7%101 W · 147 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	1,932$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.18	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x540e…263dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	1,916$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.55	99	24.2%24 W · 75 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	1,782$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.43	726	38.8%282 W · 444 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	1,659$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.73	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	6c	1,599$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	1,470$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.87	5,350	56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L	+228.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	1,296$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	557	48.8%272 W · 285 L	+23.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	1,196$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.49	364	35.2%128 W · 236 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	1,142$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e2…e51dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	1,088$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e2…5a46backed Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	1,064$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b8…0d4cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	1,060$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x957b…716dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	6c	1,050$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.62	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	1,011$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	246	43.9%108 W · 138 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f2…4c29backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	999.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	83	26.5%22 W · 61 L	+8.0wins	+0.10per pick	17cpaid	+72.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	999.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	984.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	489	35.8%175 W · 314 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	977.52$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	8,505	42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L	-166.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e4…68bebacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	967.79$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.2	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	921.85$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.58	150	48%72 W · 78 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	830.73$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	249	18.5%46 W · 203 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	792.04$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	191	52.4%100 W · 91 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc20c…2b5dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	789.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x023d…23acbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	783.3$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	617	55.9%345 W · 272 L	+18.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	775.07$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	549	55.2%303 W · 246 L	-21.0wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a1…9d76backed Shintaro Mochizuki	7c	759.22$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	46cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	706.43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.07	198	41.9%83 W · 115 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	701.92$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	392	54.1%212 W · 180 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	601.34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.95	1,010	39.2%396 W · 614 L	-23.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	2c	565$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	631	44.1%278 W · 353 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39f…8506backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	553.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	549.93$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	379	44.6%169 W · 210 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	541.39$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	603	42%253 W · 350 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba56…10e8backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	527.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a1…1b54backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	526.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7efb…a83abacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	502.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	85	29.4%25 W · 60 L	-7.7wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	484.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.29	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	449$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.52	2,065	35.2%727 W · 1,338 L	-52.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	426.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	2,854	39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L	-83.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd41d…1426backed Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	425.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	416.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	1,300	36.9%480 W · 820 L	-34.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	416.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	917	54%495 W · 422 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	409.59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Shintaro Mochizuki	5c	406.68$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	864	70%605 W · 259 L	+43.2wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f1…6e6fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	3c	403.75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki	4c	400$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	175	35.4%62 W · 113 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizukithis page
Jannik Sinner vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
Jannik Sinner vs. Shintaro Mochizuki: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs MochizukiSinner won
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs MochizukiSinner won
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Mochizuki (+1.5)Sinner won
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Mochizuki (+2.5)Sinner won
Sinner vs. Mochizuki: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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