Tennis · resolved market
Philadelphia: Julia Grabher vs Ashlyn Krueger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80c745f9735f54824be69382d674c6d675db9b40bd4f119302acf41f093ae98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Grabherof Julia Grabher, Ashlyn Krueger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Ashlyn Krueger | 61c | 18,213$11,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,163.55 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Julia Grabher | 65c | 13,392$8,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.45 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ashlyn Krueger | 36c | 6,107$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.4 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Julia Grabher | 39c | 6,074$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.26 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Julia Grabher | 40c | 3,289$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Julia Grabher | 38c | 2,117$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Julia Grabher | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Julia Grabher | 20c | 650$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Julia Grabher | 68c | 402.56$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…9becbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 23c | 388.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ashlyn Krueger | 45c | 321.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ashlyn Krueger | 18c | 304.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Ashlyn Krueger | 26c | 274.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Julia Grabher | 18c | 250.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.77 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Ashlyn Krueger | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 20c | 249$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…b4c4backed Ashlyn Krueger | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Julia Grabher | 47c | 169.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Ashlyn Krueger | 32c | 157.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Julia Grabher | 18c | 149.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…91f7backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…5fb9backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Ashlyn Krueger | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 21c | 123.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Julia Grabher | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 19c | 100.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Julia Grabher | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Ashlyn Krueger | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2ac6backed Julia Grabher | 74c | 97.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Julia Grabher | 23c | 96.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Ashlyn Krueger | 33c | 90.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…83f3backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 89.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Julia Grabher | 55c | 87.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…c45cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…5604backed Ashlyn Krueger | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 86.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Julia Grabher | 19c | 74.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Ashlyn Krueger | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Julia Grabher | 20c | 68.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…e1d4backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…9802backed Ashlyn Krueger | 54c | 58.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…3443backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…91cbbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…96f4backed Ashlyn Krueger | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ec…f2e4backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…3ec9backed Ashlyn Krueger | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1a32backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…d6c2backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…de44backed Ashlyn Krueger | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…ad83backed Ashlyn Krueger | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Julia Grabher | 43c | 34.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Julia Grabher | 46c | 34.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Ashlyn Krueger | 71c | 31.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb8…b855backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 31.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…0870backed Ashlyn Krueger | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…bb9ebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…a57cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…b2a5backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514c…7babbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…3a7cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e7…9106backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…fad1backed Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe572…4a51backed Ashlyn Krueger | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e9…b36abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…430dbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 54c | 24.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Ashlyn Krueger | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Julia Grabher | 44c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…15bdbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…65aabacked Ashlyn Krueger | 54c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…852bbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 56c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia: Julia Grabher vs Ashlyn Kruegerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Grabher vs KruegerGrabher won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.