South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802d5cedec268b6a7ae4fe49b1810bbf1a182bfbe2e032fa1d53d909217aa4bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 5,616$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 64c | 4,684$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.26 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 3,911$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 2,700$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.29 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 63c | 1,695$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.15 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 7c | 1,259$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 1,216$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.36 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 1,215$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.83 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 37c | 1,034$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.49 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 837.49$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.26 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 19c | 665.31$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…d6e2backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 35c | 596.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 4c | 593.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 585$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.66 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 64c | 534$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed No | 64c | 490.03$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 37c | 431.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.46 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 63c | 370.37$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 341.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 34c | 299$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 201$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 200.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 34c | 179$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 63c | 126$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 35c | 125.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 63c | 117.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…0410backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 70c | 99.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 20c | 99.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 34c | 96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 37c | 86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 19c | 76.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 33c | 73.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked No | 65c | 61.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 64c | 47.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 64c | 43.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 64c | 43.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed No | 63c | 39.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yes | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 64c | 37.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 64c | 36.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 79c | 35.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 35c | 34.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…4a0abacked No | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 30c | 33.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 63c | 29.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 25.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 63c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.