South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f9ce9833daebd0e5d52297377618951e8d4fe373f07f5032b4fdbea21d8c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf958…db13backed Yes | 31c | 32,747$10,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,595.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 34c | 7,012$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.19 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 6,740$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.81 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 4,600$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.85 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 31c | 3,973$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.12 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 3,903$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 32c | 3,445$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.26 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 3,256$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 2,869$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 2,831$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 2,016$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.32 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 69c | 1,606$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.98 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 64c | 1,552$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.6 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 1,538$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.39 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 1,011$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.35 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 856$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.64 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 69c | 828.39$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.85 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 813$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.97 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 70c | 583.42$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.49 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 24c | 497.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 7c | 460.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 32c | 453.13$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.13 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 405.19$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.58 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 299.93$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 64c | 270.97$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 69c | 235.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 69c | 210.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 30c | 182.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 28c | 170$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 34c | 159.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 75c | 157.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 66c | 151.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 75c | 150.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 75c | 149.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 65c | 144$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 23c | 106.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No | 69c | 103.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 37c | 103.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 78c | 98.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 35c | 89.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes | 41c | 66.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 69c | 61.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…44bebacked Yes | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 30c | 52.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 68c | 51.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ca…f762backed No | 27c | 47.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 74c | 45.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Yes | 32c | 42.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 35c | 40.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 70c | 34.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 70c | 33.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked Yes | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 75c | 31.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 31.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 42c | 30.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 74c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 25.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…a8f6backed Yes | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 70c | 16.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed Yes | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.