South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10d3e075dbc71e63e2dddb20bf5a44b44d2c200a0d186c3133c7595e24da547c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 8,139$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.18 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 3,859$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,087$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.37 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 1,841$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 1,509$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.73 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 1,310$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.11 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 901.39$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.47 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 735$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 68c | 306.25$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 298.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 271$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 201$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 67c | 199.87$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 194.91$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 188.01$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 170.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…236dbacked No | 68c | 167.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 67c | 156$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 33c | 154$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 71c | 132.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 94.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 67c | 92.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Yes | 36c | 89.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 85.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 32c | 75.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 32c | 74.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed No | 69c | 71.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 69c | 71.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked No | 69c | 71.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 34c | 64.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 69c | 47.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 67c | 43.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 68c | 36.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 31c | 34.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 68c | 34.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 64c | 32.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 67c | 31.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 67c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.