Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Mia Ristic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ff03fc9821ee6d974b9771b1d51b2ac6289fa17bfc1442c383608e8720a494c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mia Risticof Francisca Jorge, Mia Ristic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Francisca Jorge | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francisca Jorge | 15c | 4,254$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.94 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Francisca Jorge | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Mia Ristic | 56c | 3,403$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.14 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francisca Jorge | 30c | 2,500$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.24 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…54a4backed Mia Ristic | 67c | 2,090$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Francisca Jorge | 16c | 1,981$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.82 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mia Ristic | 53c | 1,890$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.42 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francisca Jorge | 17c | 1,158$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.88 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mia Ristic | 51c | 1,116$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.65 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Mia Ristic | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Francisca Jorge | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Francisca Jorge | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Francisca Jorge | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mia Ristic | 78c | 494.64$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mia Ristic | 50c | 492.64$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.32 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Francisca Jorge | 20c | 465$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Francisca Jorge | 7c | 365$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Mia Ristic | 69c | 331$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Francisca Jorge | 18c | 270$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Francisca Jorge | 53c | 257$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Francisca Jorge | 52c | 252$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Francisca Jorge | 19c | 244.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Mia Ristic | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Francisca Jorge | 26c | 230.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Mia Ristic | 52c | 222.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 402 | 54.5%219 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mia Ristic | 77c | 215.76$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Mia Ristic | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Francisca Jorge | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Mia Ristic | 49c | 192.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mia Ristic | 50c | 185.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Mia Ristic | 70c | 183.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Francisca Jorge | 11c | 180.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Mia Ristic | 49c | 148.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mia Ristic | 80c | 146.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Francisca Jorge | 17c | 139.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 136 | 18.4%25 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Francisca Jorge | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Francisca Jorge | 50c | 119.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Francisca Jorge | 52c | 109.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Mia Ristic | 58c | 103.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Francisca Jorge | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Francisca Jorge | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Francisca Jorge | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 710 | 45.4%322 W · 388 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Mia Ristic | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mia Ristic | 49c | 79.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Mia Ristic | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Mia Ristic | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Mia Ristic | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Mia Ristic | 49c | 53.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Francisca Jorge | 46c | 51.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Mia Ristic | 64c | 50.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mia Ristic | 75c | 50.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Mia Ristic | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Francisca Jorge | 51c | 49.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Francisca Jorge | 50c | 44.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Francisca Jorge | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 254 | 48.8%124 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Francisca Jorge | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Francisca Jorge | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Francisca Jorge | 51c | 27.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mia Ristic | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.