Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa604e351f37ce95f9574dd2e5ba3d52d35c4f42030341b29e425997c01f0a371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $539,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $547,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 52c | 354,181$183,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,070 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 88,618$42,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,219.88 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 30,210$14,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,627.79 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 27,004$13,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,425.76 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 15,218$7,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,362.54 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 52c | 13,563$7,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.87 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 13,093$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.23 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 12,462$6,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,341 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 47c | 12,200$5,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,734.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 11,438$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.84 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 50c | 10,502$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.77 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked No | 51c | 10,340$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 47c | 10,163$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.76 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.76 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 9,488$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.1 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 48c | 8,955$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 7,811$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 7,434$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.95 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 49c | 7,246$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.36 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 7,130$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.25 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 47c | 7,046$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.09 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 6,587$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.69 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 48c | 6,495$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.23 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Yes | 50c | 6,455$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 49c | 6,082$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 49c | 5,635$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…8c4bbacked No | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 49c | 5,061$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.24 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 11c | 4,786$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.42 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 45c | 4,134$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed No | 50c | 3,766$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 48c | 3,590$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 50c | 3,225$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.5 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 48c | 3,054$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 46c | 3,050$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 49c | 2,800$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.42 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed No | 49c | 2,745$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…61ccbacked No | 50c | 2,689$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 53c | 2,666$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,654$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Yes | 49c | 2,600$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 50c | 2,500$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 50c | 2,351$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.23 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 1c | 2,342$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 49c | 2,200$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 49c | 2,180$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.83 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 66c | 2,120$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.27 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,071$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 2,050$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.78 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 2,042$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.82 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…ff78backed Yes | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 49c | 1,870$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 42c | 1,736$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.14 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 51c | 1,600$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed No | 49c | 1,600$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 1,451$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.12 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 48c | 1,378$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.45 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 48c | 1,221$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked No | 50c | 1,196$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 48c | 1,120$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.06 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 48c | 1,077$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 48c | 1,077$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Yes | 48c | 959.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 48c | 947$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.08 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 50c | 925.6$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 48c | 881.75$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.47 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 49c | 804$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.97 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 52c | 785.67$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 51c | 780$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 50c | 738.39$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.27 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 50c | 675$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 78c | 662.15$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 50c | 658.57$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.29 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed No | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 53c | 634.66$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.95 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 629.05$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 49c | 623$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.97 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 48c | 616.94$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.13 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 47c | 612$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 49c | 606.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.18 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 13c | 588.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 49c | 563.84$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Yes | 52c | 557.4$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.55 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 59c | 557$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.