MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62ad6d8accc9451a8dc68b6c954eda2deb40cb410aaf45c2becde64f5320d8ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 49c | 40,064$19,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,548.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 28,168$13,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,949.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 53c | 13,208$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 13,115$6,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,950.77 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked New York Mets | 54c | 7,700$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.97 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 7,674$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.8 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed New York Mets | 53c | 7,666$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.98 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 5c | 7,098$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.33 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 39c | 3,656$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.07 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,426$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Mets | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.11 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Mets | 37c | 2,480$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.35 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked New York Mets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 1,990$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.71 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 1,927$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.6 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed New York Mets | 7c | 1,857$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 24c | 1,724$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed New York Mets | 10c | 1,652$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,578$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.77 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 1,349$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 1,241$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.74 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,187$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.74 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,165$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,095$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.01 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Mets | 5c | 1,060$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,054$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.05 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 75c | 1,038$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.63 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 52c | 1,024$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,023$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked New York Mets | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked New York Mets | 11c | 998.66$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 53c | 974.98$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.49 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed New York Mets | 53c | 942$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.26 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 928$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.56 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 32c | 897.54$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets | 52c | 754.45$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.27 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 646.37$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 53c | 639.64$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.95 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 629.93$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked New York Mets | 44c | 626.93$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 5c | 589.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed New York Mets | 54c | 560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 501$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 53c | 500.04$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.02 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked New York Mets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed New York Mets | 25c | 465.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 448.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…f8b2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 435.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 425.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 419.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…cfccbacked New York Mets | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 21c | 370.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 313.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.69 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 302$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked New York Mets | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 54c | 299.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets | 11c | 298.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 287.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed New York Mets | 7c | 285$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked New York Mets | 23c | 265$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 261.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed New York Mets | 11c | 245.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 222$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 214.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets | 25c | 204.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed New York Mets | 53c | 185.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 183$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked New York Mets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New York Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 154.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked New York Mets | 52c | 138$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed New York Mets | 42c | 135.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 127.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 10c | 127$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed New York Mets | 27c | 122.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 115.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 33c | 113.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Mets | 17c | 112.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed New York Mets | 52c | 111.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed New York Mets | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed New York Mets | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.