Tennis · resolved market
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2acb08018115dec5b8b15ca3871fe9fbcd988df50584c49624b9e71b79372e22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Baezof Hugo Grenier, Sebastian Baez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3970…44cebacked Hugo Grenier | 31c | 165,337$51,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,849.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sebastian Baez | 72c | 89,206$64,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,993.41 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Hugo Grenier | 28c | 37,054$10,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,234.57 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sebastian Baez | 70c | 27,052$18,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,201.22 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Hugo Grenier | 21c | 25,000$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.67 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Hugo Grenier | 42c | 23,822$10,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,122.34 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Hugo Grenier | 29c | 15,544$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.77 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hugo Grenier | 4c | 13,872$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.48 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Sebastian Baez | 79c | 12,384$9,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.64 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…e713backed Hugo Grenier | 22c | 11,530$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Baez | 67c | 10,458$6,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.57 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Hugo Grenier | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942a…fda2backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 9,779$7,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sebastian Baez | 78c | 9,000$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Hugo Grenier | 27c | 8,449$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.31 | 337 | 37.1%125 W · 212 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 6,549$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.61 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Sebastian Baez | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.25 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hugo Grenier | 7c | 6,176$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.11 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hugo Grenier | 23c | 6,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Baez | 74c | 5,278$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.48 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Hugo Grenier | 27c | 5,150$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.85 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…124abacked Hugo Grenier | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Hugo Grenier | 15c | 4,361$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 440 | 32.7%144 W · 296 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sebastian Baez | 75c | 3,771$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.28 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Hugo Grenier | 3c | 3,019$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 2,866$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.61 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Sebastian Baez | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Baez | 74c | 2,559$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.23 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Sebastian Baez | 71c | 2,541$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.05 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Sebastian Baez | 68c | 2,234$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.02 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Hugo Grenier | 1c | 1,886$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Hugo Grenier | 27c | 1,830$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.06 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hugo Grenier | 20c | 1,513$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.07 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Hugo Grenier | 28c | 1,404$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Sebastian Baez | 69c | 1,357$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.15 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Sebastian Baez | 79c | 1,322$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Hugo Grenier | 27c | 1,291$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.97 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…1d8fbacked Sebastian Baez | 79c | 1,271$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.68 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 1,185$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sebastian Baez | 78c | 1,146$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.06 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 1,128$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.36 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Sebastian Baez | 67c | 1,046$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.87 | 255 | 58%148 W · 107 L | +20.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Hugo Grenier | 23c | 1,040$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.21 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Sebastian Baez | 63c | 1,038$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.92 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Hugo Grenier | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 353 | 54.4%192 W · 161 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Hugo Grenier | 16c | 910.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,030 | 50%515 W · 515 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…481bbacked Sebastian Baez | 78c | 884.08$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +197.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked Sebastian Baez | 70c | 850$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Hugo Grenier | 26c | 768.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sebastian Baez | 78c | 759.55$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Sebastian Baez | 78c | 758.34$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Hugo Grenier | 20c | 754.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…c4eebacked Sebastian Baez | 79c | 636.16$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hugo Grenier | 20c | 625$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…6657backed Hugo Grenier | 21c | 576.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Sebastian Baez | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 504$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Hugo Grenier | 21c | 501.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 307 | 47.9%147 W · 160 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sebastian Baez | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Hugo Grenier | 6c | 434.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Hugo Grenier | 21c | 428.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…82a2backed Hugo Grenier | 23c | 419.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Hugo Grenier | 4c | 403.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 359 | 56.8%204 W · 155 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Sebastian Baez | 78c | 402.92$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Sebastian Baez | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed Hugo Grenier | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hugo Grenier | 8c | 398.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Sebastian Baez | 55c | 383$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 357$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sebastian Baez | 78c | 342.11$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Sebastian Baez | 62c | 313.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 499 | 42.3%211 W · 288 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…3ab8backed Hugo Grenier | 33c | 293.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd845…d19fbacked Sebastian Baez | 79c | 281.01$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 278.4$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…603abacked Hugo Grenier | 11c | 267.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb306…2086backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 267.39$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Hugo Grenier | 7c | 225.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Sebastian Baez | 77c | 224.95$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 1,084 | 52.6%570 W · 514 L | +31.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sebastian Baez | 74c | 217.41$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Hugo Grenier | 22c | 217.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Hugo Grenier | 35c | 216$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Hugo Grenier | 23c | 206$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 198 | 54.5%108 W · 90 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Hugo Grenier | 35c | 187.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…dd4abacked Hugo Grenier | 6c | 184.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Sebastian Baez | 68c | 175.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebastian Baez | 79c | 164.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Sebastian Baez | 68c | 147.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 136$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…e45fbacked Sebastian Baez | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…ff71backed Sebastian Baez | 76c | 128.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 120.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2412backed Hugo Grenier | 17c | 119.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Hugo Grenier | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 39.9%99 W · 149 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sebastian Baez | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…741bbacked Hugo Grenier | 27c | 107.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Sebastian Baez | 79c | 106.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Sebastian Baez | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Sebastian Baez | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Sebastian Baez | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Grenier vs BaezBaez won
- Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Grenier (+1.5)Baez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.