Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8d30f318897125cb3326a29415598e4725372f0c20c3cd439e34b56d0008010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb0…6a68backed Yes | 52c | 102,236$53,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,760.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 53c | 99,555$52,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,795.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 48c | 46,594$22,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,365.33 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 27,700$7,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,433.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 11c | 18,176$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.97 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 48c | 17,508$8,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,403.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked No | 7c | 16,755$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 12,581$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,035.53 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 24c | 11,784$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.04 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed No | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 70c | 5,992$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 47c | 4,700$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 3,960$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.39 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 3,822$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.06 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 48c | 3,767$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.26 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 23c | 3,496$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.68 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 11c | 3,485$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.69 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 50c | 3,250$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.88 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 47c | 3,226$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.19 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked No | 48c | 3,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…5a30backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…4c26backed No | 11c | 2,742$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 48c | 2,544$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.93 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 1,962$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.48 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 50c | 1,802$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.93 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 1,619$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.87 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 1,573$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.76 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 48c | 1,568$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.64 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 46c | 1,533$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 46c | 1,516$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 1,420$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.6 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 46c | 1,297$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…0af8backed No | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 38c | 1,055$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.95 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 27c | 875.03$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 30c | 847.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 843$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.21 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…5c62backed No | 47c | 764$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 46c | 763.53$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.22 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 49c | 739.45$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked No | 46c | 731.18$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 611.66$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.58 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 593$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.67 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 10c | 581.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 46c | 574.25$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 9c | 549.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 525.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 47c | 496.45$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 39c | 467.35$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 29c | 467.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 46c | 419$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.89 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 48c | 399.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed No | 47c | 389.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 48c | 350.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 11c | 336.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 39c | 333.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 298.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.93 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 6c | 259.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 6c | 245.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 47c | 230.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 225$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 29c | 222.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 48c | 196.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 49c | 194.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 16c | 187$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 47c | 169$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 48c | 156$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…2ae5backed Yes | 53c | 147.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 46c | 144.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 133.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 46c | 126.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…694fbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 48c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…98cebacked No | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.