Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83eddea40ce9bceef38394a88fe08514d3abe96eb1e1cea5c9444a09a1fde5fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 3,572$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 2,294$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.64 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 1,506$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.21 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 1,264$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 1,049$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.87 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 268.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 24c | 216$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 165.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Yes | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 19c | 73.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 77c | 35.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 80c | 19.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.