Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5425991bf611abc3fd663ff37d39c294a60ee473c79f78be2e434625bf1f3a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Yes | 59c | 220,000$130,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,774.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 43c | 46,193$20,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,182.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 41c | 31,244$12,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,382.18 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 46c | 16,458$7,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,962.36 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 39c | 15,416$6,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,403.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,260 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 10,957$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,612.13 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 10,749$5,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,865.39 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 40c | 10,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.86 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 56c | 7,898$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.71 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 43c | 7,706$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,383.27 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,575 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 40c | 7,473$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.45 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 41c | 7,253$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.93 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 55c | 6,500$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.96 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 40c | 5,103$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.78 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 40c | 4,532$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.92 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 44c | 4,176$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 40c | 4,131$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.77 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 41c | 4,000$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 48c | 3,864$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.57 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 44c | 3,636$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 3,600$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 48c | 3,232$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.64 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 3,208$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.88 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 61c | 3,189$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 41c | 3,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 58c | 2,607$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.04 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 2,468$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.33 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 39c | 2,388$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.68 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 39c | 2,344$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.71 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 2,230$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.74 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 39c | 2,066$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.03 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 41c | 1,973$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 40c | 1,816$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 41c | 1,756$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.53 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 38c | 1,688$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.4 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 61c | 1,573$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.53 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 42c | 1,568$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.44 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 1,547$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.71 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 41c | 1,388$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 1,377$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 40c | 1,365$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.26 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 1,304$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.38 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 1,247$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.5 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed No | 62c | 1,241$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.69 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.84 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 39c | 1,059$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.37 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 60c | 992.57$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 959.05$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.1 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 873$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.44 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 873$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.44 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 830.72$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.89 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 2c | 782.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 40c | 763.22$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.42 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed No | 42c | 759$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 695.74$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.88 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Yes | 61c | 693.22$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 40c | 613$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 22c | 581.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 19c | 548.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 533.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.96 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 42c | 487.4$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 467$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed No | 63c | 466.15$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…ff8cbacked No | 43c | 463.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 41c | 449$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.35 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…cd4fbacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 420.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…2c20backed Yes | 45c | 409.16$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 42c | 400$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 391.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 379.76$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 54c | 375$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed No | 40c | 355$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 46c | 334.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.38 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 41c | 319.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 41c | 313.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 45c | 312.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 41c | 280.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 56c | 245.65$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 77c | 241.59$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.