Mls · resolved market
Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9cb34ac4e8d852e4cf0aee9ee9b9a9e607b7c600d984f4392bdbd43ef91533
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 2c | 4,082$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 17c | 4,026$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.09 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 24c | 3,648$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.06 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 20c | 3,553$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.33 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,505$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.3 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 3,475$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.41 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 24c | 3,375$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.42 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 2,427$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.48 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 22c | 2,283$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.54 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 21c | 2,204$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.72 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 78c | 1,974$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.55 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 20c | 1,560$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.97 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 36c | 1,554$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.53 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 37c | 1,428$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.47 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 22c | 1,390$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.56 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 5c | 1,374$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 2c | 1,265$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,133$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 2c | 1,109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 17c | 979$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.57 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 10c | 969.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 25c | 929.79$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.64 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 7c | 897.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 2c | 750$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 668.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.28 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 35c | 641.68$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.6 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 16c | 587$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.08 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 35c | 577.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 20c | 563.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 20c | 523.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.88 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 28c | 516.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 22c | 514.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 41c | 496.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.87 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 20c | 458.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.84 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed No | 4c | 435$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5df…f122backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 12c | 434.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 415$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.16 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 20c | 388.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 22c | 387.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 30c | 380.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.57 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 51c | 312.06$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 48c | 302.47$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…b025backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 19c | 284.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 247.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.37 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 19c | 239$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 211.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.35 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 206.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 80c | 200.71$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 77c | 199.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 34c | 191.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 80c | 186$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 18c | 174.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 162.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 153.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 21c | 144$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 60c | 143.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 66c | 143.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 20c | 134.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 23c | 132.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Yes | 69c | 127.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 48c | 123.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 123.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 36c | 112.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 111.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 35c | 91.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 11c | 88.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 19c | 84.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 37c | 74.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 19c | 69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Yes | 19c | 65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 20c | 62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 20c | 61.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 35c | 56.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 78c | 56.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 20c | 53.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked No | 59c | 47.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 75c | 41.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…f9ebbacked Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 78cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 78c | 23.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 53c | 18.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Yes | 79c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…5147backed No | 65c | 17.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…99c1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 70cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.