Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3fec16275e0ad7465edc69287bf5880d2a5305a4ed65b1c937a56dbca6aae25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacob Fearnleyof Jacob Fearnley, Luka Pavlovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luka Pavlovic | 8c | 33,147$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.6 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Luka Pavlovic | 4c | 30,606$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.46 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 18c | 7,612$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.82 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 6,732$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.69 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Luka Pavlovic | 17c | 3,161$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.77 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jacob Fearnley | 79c | 3,011$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.44 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Jacob Fearnley | 75c | 2,848$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.62 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 33c | 2,260$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.03 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 22c | 2,032$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.3 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Jacob Fearnley | 79c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.28 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 1,966$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.51 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Luka Pavlovic | 22c | 1,769$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Luka Pavlovic | 11c | 1,750$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 22c | 1,551$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.15 | 364 | 34.3%125 W · 239 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Luka Pavlovic | 39c | 1,285$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 396 | 46.5%184 W · 212 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Jacob Fearnley | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 492 | 50.6%249 W · 243 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…842abacked Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 940$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.54 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Luka Pavlovic | 19c | 849.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 20c | 775.2$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 617.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 337 | 37.1%125 W · 212 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Luka Pavlovic | 37c | 560.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Luka Pavlovic | 15c | 504.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luka Pavlovic | 38c | 499.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jacob Fearnley | 63c | 489.68$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Jacob Fearnley | 77c | 396.25$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 9c | 377$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Luka Pavlovic | 7c | 347.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +16.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 16c | 340$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luka Pavlovic | 6c | 337$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…cea8backed Luka Pavlovic | 15c | 303$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Jacob Fearnley | 77c | 285.92$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 15c | 279.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Luka Pavlovic | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 404 | 44.1%178 W · 226 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…2665backed Luka Pavlovic | 39c | 257.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Jacob Fearnley | 53c | 234.18$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 290 | 48.3%140 W · 150 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…c51cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 227.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…49ebbacked Luka Pavlovic | 9c | 227.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 199.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 263 | 30.8%81 W · 182 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Jacob Fearnley | 74c | 179.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Luka Pavlovic | 19c | 167.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 796 | 53%422 W · 374 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Luka Pavlovic | 35c | 166.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Luka Pavlovic | 11c | 161.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 156$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 152.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luka Pavlovic | 14c | 150.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Jacob Fearnley | 63c | 150$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…ecefbacked Luka Pavlovic | 32c | 147.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Luka Pavlovic | 9c | 145$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 310 | 35.2%109 W · 201 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…585bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 129.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Jacob Fearnley | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 113.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 111.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luka Pavlovic | 22c | 110.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luka Pavlovic | 21c | 105.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Jacob Fearnley | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 169 | 49.7%84 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Luka Pavlovic | 13c | 99.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Jacob Fearnley | 76c | 89.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 233 | 64.4%150 W · 83 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…1c3cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Luka Pavlovic | 23c | 81.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Luka Pavlovic | 17c | 78.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -20.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Luka Pavlovic | 38c | 77.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Luka Pavlovic | 26c | 72.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 908 | 34.1%310 W · 598 L | -43.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Jacob Fearnley | 73c | 68.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 19c | 68.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…bf08backed Luka Pavlovic | 17c | 63.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Luka Pavlovic | 29c | 50.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Luka Pavlovic | 34c | 43.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Jacob Fearnley | 75c | 35.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 488 | 58%283 W · 205 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 28.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Luka Pavlovic | 36c | 27.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Jacob Fearnley | 77c | 27.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…fdd9backed Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 23.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 328 | 56.7%186 W · 142 L | +21.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…fbdabacked Jacob Fearnley | 77c | 20.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Jacob Fearnley | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 370 | 60%222 W · 148 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Jacob Fearnley | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Luka Pavlovicthis page
- Game Spread: Fearnley (-4.5) vs Pavlovic (+4.5)Pavlovic won
- Set 1 Winner: Fearnley vs PavlovicFearnley won
- Set Handicap: Fearnley (-1.5) vs Pavlovic (+1.5)Pavlovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.