UFC · resolved market
Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1e4906f58f68a0b504b79a335f62578413378fd20fd8e0ef4699ec18c51a17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cristian Perezof Logan Paxton, Cristian Perez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Cristian Perez | 77c | 13,224$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.87 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…a2a7backed Cristian Perez | 8c | 8,985$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,226.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,450.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…cedebacked Logan Paxton | 39c | 8,096$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.37 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +71%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Logan Paxton | 25c | 6,375$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cristian Perez | 67c | 5,478$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.88 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cristian Perez | 68c | 4,712$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.42 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Logan Paxton | 24c | 4,596$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.08 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Cristian Perez | 76c | 2,436$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.28 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Logan Paxton | 24c | 2,008$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.47 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Logan Paxton | 25c | 1,995$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.77 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Logan Paxton | 27c | 1,872$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.03 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cristian Perez | 76c | 1,785$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Logan Paxton | 29c | 1,730$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked Cristian Perez | 68c | 1,550$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Cristian Perez | 76c | 1,381$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Logan Paxton | 23c | 1,245$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.19 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Cristian Perez | 80c | 1,107$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cristian Perez | 70c | 1,087$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Logan Paxton | 30c | 1,060$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.7 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Logan Paxton | 1c | 1,021$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed Cristian Perez | 12c | 1,010$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…8c75backed Cristian Perez | 34c | 989.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Logan Paxton | 39c | 970.11$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Logan Paxton | 28c | 874.05$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.61 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc0…c9e8backed Logan Paxton | 33c | 767.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Logan Paxton | 33c | 762$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.24 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Logan Paxton | 31c | 744.73$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Logan Paxton | 24c | 727.2$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4bebacked Cristian Perez | 71c | 705.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Cristian Perez | 69c | 688.95$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Logan Paxton | 29c | 603.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Logan Paxton | 29c | 603.23$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Cristian Perez | 67c | 600.38$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1b…65d7backed Logan Paxton | 33c | 587.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0839…60b5backed Cristian Perez | 75c | 470.22$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…6d09backed Logan Paxton | 25c | 469.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Cristian Perez | 64c | 457.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e968backed Cristian Perez | 77c | 455.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Logan Paxton | 23c | 442.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…e8f9backed Logan Paxton | 33c | 421.69$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Cristian Perez | 72c | 417.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Logan Paxton | 26c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Logan Paxton | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…b07abacked Logan Paxton | 26c | 384.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Logan Paxton | 37c | 378.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cristian Perez | 60c | 377.08$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.83 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed Cristian Perez | 71c | 350.35$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…8e49backed Cristian Perez | 75c | 345.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Logan Paxton | 68c | 333.68$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Cristian Perez | 70c | 313.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…c31fbacked Logan Paxton | 33c | 303.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…ca6ebacked Cristian Perez | 71c | 282.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…7691backed Cristian Perez | 71c | 281.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Logan Paxton | 30c | 269.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Cristian Perez | 72c | 261.1$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…7890backed Cristian Perez | 8c | 241.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,109%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Cristian Perez | 73c | 234.18$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cristian Perez | 73c | 233.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Logan Paxton | 32c | 232.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Logan Paxton | 31c | 215.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked Logan Paxton | 25c | 202.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 251 | 60.2%151 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Cristian Perez | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +68%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Cristian Perez | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Logan Paxton | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…c07cbacked Logan Paxton | 29c | 195.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Logan Paxton | 29c | 188.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed Logan Paxton | 29c | 185.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…20fbbacked Logan Paxton | 28c | 180.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Cristian Perez | 71c | 179.34$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Logan Paxton | 29c | 171.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…1b97backed Logan Paxton | 31c | 159.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Cristian Perez | 64c | 155.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Logan Paxton | 28c | 153.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…28a7backed Logan Paxton | 37c | 149.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Cristian Perez | 69c | 145.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Cristian Perez | 76c | 144.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Logan Paxton | 31c | 143.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cristian Perez | 68c | 132.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Logan Paxton | 28c | 125.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…ab37backed Logan Paxton | 32c | 125.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cristian Perez | 66c | 117.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…5679backed Cristian Perez | 77c | 104.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe160…b6b9backed Logan Paxton | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Cristian Perez | 67c | 101$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 241 | 61.8%149 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Logan Paxton | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Cristian Perez | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Logan Paxton | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Logan Paxton | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Cristian Perez | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed Logan Paxton | 28c | 87.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Cristian Perez | 67c | 76.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…7003backed Logan Paxton | 33c | 75.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Logan Paxton | 30c | 71.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Logan Paxton | 30c | 71.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cristian Perez | 67c | 64.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Logan Paxton | 32c | 63.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Logan Paxton | 32c | 62.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Logan Paxton | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…1bafbacked Logan Paxton | 26c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Logan Paxton | 32c | 59.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.