Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11c321a761822952a502489c916a60e682254c9bf9fdaa216797059fae03f004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 42c | 17,359$7,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,246.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 10,511$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.67 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed No | 62c | 8,064$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 5,749$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.75 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 59c | 4,458$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.05 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 2,408$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.77 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed No | 58c | 2,066$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,988$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.61 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 59c | 1,975$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 65c | 1,661$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.89 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed No | 65c | 1,540$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 62c | 1,239$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.87 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 66c | 1,148$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.48 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 32c | 1,029$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.32 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 879.36$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.93 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 59c | 700.31$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.07 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 58c | 612.85$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 36c | 583.19$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 39c | 343.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 341.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 38c | 341$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 38c | 283.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 16c | 257.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked No | 64c | 227.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 63c | 215.14$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 67c | 212$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 61c | 198.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 61c | 197.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked No | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 66c | 191.52$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 58c | 187$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 181.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.31 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 58c | 174$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 64c | 173.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 38c | 171.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 159.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…767fbacked Yes | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 41c | 156.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9f62backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 38c | 144.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 80c | 144.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 58c | 142.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 58c | 134$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 60c | 128$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 74c | 123$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 77c | 105.48$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 58c | 105$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 38c | 103.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yes | 38c | 100.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 58c | 91.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 86.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 59c | 72.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 62c | 68.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 38c | 64.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 38c | 63.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked No | 59c | 58.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…eddabacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 25c | 51.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 60c | 49.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 60c | 40.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 59c | 40.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 38c | 35.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Yes | 41c | 34.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2412backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 58c | 32.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 34c | 32.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 64c | 31.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 38c | 31.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 30.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 59c | 26.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…2e2dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 62c | 23.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 23.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 60c | 20.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed No | 61c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.