Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b19b22e932ef70d7c77693831792ce5be42d65ef48a3b0c209860f417a89886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 36c | 9,820$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.53 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked No | 64c | 8,753$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.02 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 3,125$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.28 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 37c | 2,529$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.63 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 41c | 2,463$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 1,677$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.99 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 36c | 1,304$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.34 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,162$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.29 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 1,001$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.46 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 831.83$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 61c | 799.41$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.77 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 715.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 10c | 630.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 606.42$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.51 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 490.91$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 37c | 483.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 474.37$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 65c | 436.92$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.42 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 71c | 405.29$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.49 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 38c | 395.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 63c | 391$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 64c | 351.77$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 339.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 37c | 332.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 59c | 316.88$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 64c | 314.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…00f1backed Yes | 37c | 310.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 8c | 306.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 304.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 64c | 295.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 289.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…0bdebacked Yes | 35c | 285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 64c | 217.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 193.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 60c | 185$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Yes | 36c | 179.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 64c | 175$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 39c | 174.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 39c | 172.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 36c | 154.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 141.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 41c | 124.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 121.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 36c | 121.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 44c | 119$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 44c | 114.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 107.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Yes | 39c | 96.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Yes | 38c | 89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 56c | 79.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 29c | 77.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 75.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 75.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 64c | 65.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 73c | 61.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 64c | 61.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 60.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 35c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 60c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 49c | 51.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 64c | 50.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 37c | 46.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 45c | 45.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked No | 64c | 43.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Yes | 39c | 39.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 39c | 39.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 45c | 38.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 37.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 46c | 37.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…8623backed Yes | 37c | 33.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed No | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.