Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x610cc56d5a7813ce8099af8574bc6f06fe25a32c92190fed6f558daae8c3395a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 32c | 8,346$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640.48 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 67c | 7,674$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.58 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.99 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 5,535$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.16 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 4,113$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 3,554$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.28 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 67c | 3,360$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.18 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 3,204$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.4 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 34c | 3,137$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.55 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…bc32backed Yes | 67c | 2,630$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 2,542$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.84 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed No | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 73c | 1,702$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.34 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 1,543$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.23 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 27c | 1,511$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.08 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 79c | 1,237$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.63 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 16c | 991.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.79 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 66c | 989.35$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.97 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 968.46$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 22c | 838.59$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.86 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 35c | 577.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 67c | 550.32$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.68 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 67c | 537.31$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 28c | 528.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.82 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 33c | 474.31$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.79 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 67c | 432.84$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 15c | 410.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 24c | 350$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 29c | 349.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 29c | 345.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 16c | 341.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 66c | 334$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 27c | 333$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9302…6924backed Yes | 67c | 307.64$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 34c | 294.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 287.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 30c | 280.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 259$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 259$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 67c | 249.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +400.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed Yes | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 56c | 201.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 73c | 192.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…c5a2backed Yes | 67c | 176.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8780…002ebacked Yes | 67c | 164.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 28c | 153.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a7…9bacbacked Yes | 67c | 145.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked No | 68c | 130.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 33c | 130.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Yes | 67c | 115$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 24c | 109.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 108.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 66c | 102$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 50c | 100.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb18…9897backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 91.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…e6e6backed Yes | 67c | 88.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 67c | 85.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -5.7wins | -0.57per pick | 67cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 25c | 80.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 45c | 78.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 31c | 78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 71c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 76c | 74.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 75c | 73.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 32c | 71.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 33c | 67.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 72c | 66.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed No | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ba…b677backed Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed No | 33c | 57.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 79c | 53.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 34c | 51.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…5695backed Yes | 67c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.