Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8dbb429f2373d4f1a09549c7a51cb66ab70f8117ca8e6ba6c5955610e63e48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,609$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 14c | 2,800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 859.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.67 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 824$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.63 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 74c | 734.79$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 581.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 571.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…a939backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 427.77$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 75c | 401.47$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 80c | 386$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 374.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 67c | 372.47$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 67c | 298.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 32c | 277.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 75c | 207.66$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 110.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 41c | 80.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…50a2backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 32c | 32.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 40c | 32.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 65c | 22.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 19.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.