TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roehampton 2: Ivan Ivanov vs George Loffhagen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
George Loffhagenof Ivan Ivanov, George Loffhagen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3663…8950backed Ivan Ivanov11c15,700$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.1439443.1%170 W · 224 L+20.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Ivan Ivanov4c12,446$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.629,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ivan Ivanov33c3,342$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.184,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Ivan Ivanov5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ivan Ivanov6c1,719$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.582,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Ivan Ivanov1c1,622$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66547.4%4 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Ivan Ivanov15c1,526$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22644032.7%144 W · 296 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed George Loffhagen73c1,293$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.131,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ivan Ivanov6c679.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.128,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Ivan Ivanov27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16233155.6%184 W · 147 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed George Loffhagen77c433.6$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.194,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed George Loffhagen67c429.47$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3341748.2%201 W · 216 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ivan Ivanov7c417.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Ivan Ivanov31c415.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.321,75449.1%862 W · 892 L+56.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Ivan Ivanov28c344.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5331242.3%132 W · 180 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed George Loffhagen69c315.19$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.671,06650.1%534 W · 532 L+48.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Ivan Ivanov11c306.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.141,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed George Loffhagen69c295.12$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.491,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Ivan Ivanov10c280.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.491,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked George Loffhagen66c270$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81,00857.7%582 W · 426 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Ivan Ivanov27c256.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.192,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Ivan Ivanov4c249.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0956926%148 W · 421 L-23.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ivan Ivanov28c240$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.21,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Ivan Ivanov9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014342%60 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Ivan Ivanov30c221.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.471,70248.3%822 W · 880 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Ivan Ivanov27c219.91$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3817538.3%67 W · 108 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+75.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked George Loffhagen80c202.49$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.57,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ivan Ivanov27c181.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Ivan Ivanov28c150.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.625,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed George Loffhagen66c146$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6453946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e17…2412backed Ivan Ivanov11c131.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc6…1cedbacked Ivan Ivanov8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103312.1%4 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Ivan Ivanov12c119.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Ivan Ivanov23c108.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed George Loffhagen77c99.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9374654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Ivan Ivanov27c94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3886647.9%415 W · 451 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked George Loffhagen78c78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Ivan Ivanov29c68.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015744.6%70 W · 87 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3998…ec0dbacked Ivan Ivanov26c61.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.021717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec17…0af9backed Ivan Ivanov28c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8413038.5%50 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Ivan Ivanov27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512128.9%35 W · 86 L-17.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-36.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcc40…6ae3backed Ivan Ivanov32c46.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Ivan Ivanov29c41.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225147%118 W · 133 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Ivan Ivanov27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.844363.4%281 W · 162 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed George Loffhagen76c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3338951.2%199 W · 190 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked George Loffhagen67c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106254.8%34 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed George Loffhagen70c28.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5941664.4%268 W · 148 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed George Loffhagen70c25.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7479062.2%491 W · 299 L+25.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked George Loffhagen72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8310968.8%75 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.