TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Mikrut vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nishesh Basavareddyof Luka Mikrut, Nishesh Basavareddy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Luka Mikrut5c27,876$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.449,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Nishesh Basavareddy68c13,888$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,388.0418357.9%106 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b1…7da1backed Luka Mikrut9c7,647$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+176.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Nishesh Basavareddy67c7,508$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.979656.3%54 W · 42 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Nishesh Basavareddy70c7,500$5,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.2639249.7%195 W · 197 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Luka Mikrut31c5,177$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9273453%389 W · 345 L+36.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Luka Mikrut30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014643.2%63 W · 83 L-15.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Luka Mikrut30c4,359$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.5636434.3%125 W · 239 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Nishesh Basavareddy70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Luka Mikrut32c3,735$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.072,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Nishesh Basavareddy79c2,811$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.5827952.3%146 W · 133 L-19.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Luka Mikrut34c2,700$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92569244.4%307 W · 385 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Luka Mikrut30c2,493$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.781,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Luka Mikrut33c2,398$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.333,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed Luka Mikrut15c2,209$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.35356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Luka Mikrut2c1,902$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.755,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Luka Mikrut31c1,753$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.493,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Luka Mikrut35c1,752$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.156,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf0…b554backed Luka Mikrut14c1,220$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.84047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Luka Mikrut32c1,218$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.4819948.7%97 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Nishesh Basavareddy67c1,213$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.224238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Nishesh Basavareddy70c1,187$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9765040%260 W · 390 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Luka Mikrut30c1,033$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Nishesh Basavareddy68c1,010$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.21675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Luka Mikrut30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033234%113 W · 219 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Luka Mikrut18c990.61$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Luka Mikrut15c833.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Luka Mikrut32c731.98$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.013,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Luka Mikrut33c730$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.91,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nishesh Basavareddy75c697.49$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.948,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Luka Mikrut30c693.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.391,70248.3%822 W · 880 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Nishesh Basavareddy65c619.35$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.97350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Luka Mikrut31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1867,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Luka Mikrut38c575.43$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.991,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Luka Mikrut13c574.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.264,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Luka Mikrut16c570.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8343652.1%227 W · 209 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Nishesh Basavareddy70c508.04$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.171,75449.1%862 W · 892 L+56.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Luka Mikrut30c474$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7674438.7%288 W · 456 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Nishesh Basavareddy59c421.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.011,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Luka Mikrut36c378.31$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2653946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Luka Mikrut22c360.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.551,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Luka Mikrut30c342$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.137,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Luka Mikrut15c322.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.612,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Luka Mikrut31c300$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Luka Mikrut34c280.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.221,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked Nishesh Basavareddy66c265.03$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.113351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Luka Mikrut14c249.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.591,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953a…624cbacked Luka Mikrut6c235.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144916.3%8 W · 41 L-8.5wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Luka Mikrut33c219$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2726346.8%123 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Luka Mikrut38c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5516653.6%89 W · 77 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Luka Mikrut33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed54…7c7ebacked Luka Mikrut16c197$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Luka Mikrut33c176$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.25,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf091…4a1dbacked Luka Mikrut9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Nishesh Basavareddy66c151.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Luka Mikrut31c150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.759336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Luka Mikrut35c147.66$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6845752.7%241 W · 216 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Luka Mikrut35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037549.1%184 W · 191 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Luka Mikrut30c131.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0118647.8%89 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Luka Mikrut30c131.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Luka Mikrut11c126.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3756926%148 W · 421 L-23.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Luka Mikrut32c115.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.062748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Luka Mikrut32c115.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.063625%9 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Luka Mikrut31c112$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.723447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Luka Mikrut18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2099148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Nishesh Basavareddy67c108.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.821,06650.1%534 W · 532 L+48.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Luka Mikrut18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Luka Mikrut32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.583747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Luka Mikrut31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaba4…3fa6backed Luka Mikrut32c98.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.618149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Luka Mikrut31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045139%176 W · 275 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Luka Mikrut32c87.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2865250.3%328 W · 324 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Luka Mikrut31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.837330.3%113 W · 260 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Luka Mikrut31c75.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,26944.8%568 W · 701 L-5.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Nishesh Basavareddy69c74.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.966956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Luka Mikrut41c65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.343,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Luka Mikrut33c60.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015744.6%70 W · 87 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Luka Mikrut31c58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9821153.6%113 W · 98 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Nishesh Basavareddy67c53.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed91…3ae5backed Nishesh Basavareddy65c52.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Nishesh Basavareddy60c50.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3240663.8%259 W · 147 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Luka Mikrut34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7522457.6%129 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Luka Mikrut35c49.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4423640.7%96 W · 140 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Nishesh Basavareddy69c49.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2320865.9%137 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Nishesh Basavareddy70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8683056.1%466 W · 364 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbea…d783backed Nishesh Basavareddy70c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Luka Mikrut35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Luka Mikrut31c35.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8827348%131 W · 142 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497d…9072backed Nishesh Basavareddy65c33.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Luka Mikrut32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.242,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f40…16c7backed Nishesh Basavareddy60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211464%73 W · 41 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Nishesh Basavareddy67c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5744363.4%281 W · 162 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Luka Mikrut41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.316750.9%85 W · 82 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab96…8d69backed Nishesh Basavareddy69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.443775.7%28 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa806…d49dbacked Nishesh Basavareddy69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.442382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Nishesh Basavareddy66c21.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4622559.1%133 W · 92 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Nishesh Basavareddy69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7437060%222 W · 148 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Nishesh Basavareddy69c21.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6120866.3%138 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Nishesh Basavareddy73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6748858%283 W · 205 L+24.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac6…db45backed Nishesh Basavareddy66c18.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.