MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc26d7cf7f8ac1bf02dc2fd71422244ef1d5fdd457ba8c2fd3f8c3a84fd6e4e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 204,202$100,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,014.71 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 128,411$65,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,920.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 51c | 25,145$12,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,321.05 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 22,114$11,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,835.86 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 51c | 15,253$7,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,514.53 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 7,122$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 6,921$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 5,560$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 2,247$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 2,217$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 51c | 1,365$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.85 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 915.33$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.51 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 854$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 67c | 734.49$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 674.55$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.53 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…b64dbacked Over | 33c | 531.64$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 490.38$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 398$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 395.29$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 49c | 377.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 49c | 375$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 49c | 308.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 299.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 49c | 275.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 50c | 204.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Under | 51c | 147.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c84…6a34backed Over | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 139.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 131$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 53c | 94.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 52c | 87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 80c | 81.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 52c | 58.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Over | 49c | 54.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Under | 75c | 47.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Over | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 58c | 40.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 34.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 50c | 33.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 49c | 28.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 55c | 26.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.