MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f3b41159273ee1c4973476f0929c8dc3fff58274738d2da351919636b0486f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Chicago White Sox, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 70c | 1,170$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 788.55$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 711.25$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 64c | 667.76$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.94 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 620$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 65c | 577.37$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…5323backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 516.47$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 433.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 22c | 397.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 34c | 345.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 333.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 320.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed New York Yankees | 66c | 272.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed New York Yankees | 68c | 214.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Yankees | 65c | 199$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Chicago White Sox | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed New York Yankees | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed New York Yankees | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed New York Yankees | 66c | 136.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 121$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed New York Yankees | 66c | 113.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 106.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed New York Yankees | 67c | 73.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked New York Yankees | 66c | 68.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 65.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 56.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed New York Yankees | 68c | 55.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 55.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked New York Yankees | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed New York Yankees | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 31.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 19.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed New York Yankees | 67c | 18.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed New York Yankees | 77c | 15.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed New York Yankees | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.