MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17f694c487f0b74e787c4f4fb8fb790b5a24cc99c864ba911674de5c8fe90189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 59c | 4,723$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.48 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 41c | 4,361$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 34c | 1,432$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.82 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,105$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 34c | 708.36$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.84 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 69c | 461.2$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 37c | 297.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 72c | 277.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 31c | 226.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 66c | 141.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 66c | 127$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 40c | 104.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 34c | 94.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 66c | 72.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 72.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 69c | 71.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c84…6a34backed Over | 32c | 67.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 35c | 66.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 68c | 50.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 67c | 42.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 41c | 38.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 66c | 32.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Over | 35c | 30.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Over | 35c | 30.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.