Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hechingen: Tena Lukas vs Eva Bennemann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4efa48e9b1ae9b825c67ccff22e79d35946187ac9c8069e04b73fb41e4ed2c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eva Bennemannof Tena Lukas, Eva Bennemann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tena Lukas | 66c | 13,573$8,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,979.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eva Bennemann | 19c | 11,492$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,309.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Eva Bennemann | 62c | 2,392$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.94 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Tena Lukas | 25c | 1,663$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.95 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tena Lukas | 47c | 963.19$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tena Lukas | 43c | 648.93$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Eva Bennemann | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tena Lukas | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Eva Bennemann | 51c | 564.71$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eva Bennemann | 49c | 508.38$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.15 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Eva Bennemann | 54c | 373.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eva Bennemann | 72c | 358.71$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Tena Lukas | 30c | 311.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Eva Bennemann | 32c | 246.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Tena Lukas | 54c | 221.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Tena Lukas | 50c | 167.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Tena Lukas | 73c | 133.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Tena Lukas | 35c | 128.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Tena Lukas | 39c | 124.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Eva Bennemann | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tena Lukas | 59c | 117.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Tena Lukas | 73c | 117.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Eva Bennemann | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Tena Lukas | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Eva Bennemann | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Tena Lukas | 41c | 103$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Eva Bennemann | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eva Bennemann | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Tena Lukas | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Tena Lukas | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Tena Lukas | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tena Lukas | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Eva Bennemann | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Tena Lukas | 42c | 91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Tena Lukas | 32c | 90.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Tena Lukas | 42c | 89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Eva Bennemann | 80c | 88.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Tena Lukas | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Eva Bennemann | 50c | 81.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tena Lukas | 21c | 74.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Eva Bennemann | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Eva Bennemann | 50c | 73.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Tena Lukas | 23c | 72.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Eva Bennemann | 51c | 71.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Tena Lukas | 50c | 68.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Eva Bennemann | 78c | 64.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tena Lukas | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Tena Lukas | 71c | 59.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Eva Bennemann | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Eva Bennemann | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Eva Bennemann | 52c | 54.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tena Lukas | 54c | 51.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…8027backed Tena Lukas | 36c | 50.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Tena Lukas | 43c | 50.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Tena Lukas | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Eva Bennemann | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Tena Lukas | 65c | 48.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Tena Lukas | 61c | 46.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Eva Bennemann | 70c | 46.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 329 | 52.3%172 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Eva Bennemann | 46c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Eva Bennemann | 49c | 42.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Eva Bennemann | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Eva Bennemann | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Tena Lukas | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Tena Lukas | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Tena Lukas | 73c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Eva Bennemann | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Tena Lukas | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Eva Bennemann | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Eva Bennemann | 35c | 29.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Eva Bennemann | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Eva Bennemann | 76c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tena Lukas | 58c | 23.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Eva Bennemann | 77c | 23.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Eva Bennemann | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…d2dbbacked Tena Lukas | 68c | 20.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Eva Bennemann | 76c | 19.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Eva Bennemann | 77c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Eva Bennemann | 77c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.