Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gentofte: Karl Friberg vs Petr Nesterov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbece3b2df65e66c84150d3ccb567ff14dfea8761294aa01043f0633c0615f21a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Nesterovof Karl Friberg, Petr Nesterov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Petr Nesterov | 79c | 4,774$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.54 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karl Friberg | 25c | 4,598$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.1 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Karl Friberg | 23c | 2,489$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Petr Nesterov | 77c | 2,329$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Petr Nesterov | 78c | 1,073$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Petr Nesterov | 62c | 809.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.79 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Karl Friberg | 46c | 745.9$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Karl Friberg | 23c | 453.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karl Friberg | 45c | 418.46$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Petr Nesterov | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Karl Friberg | 23c | 358.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Karl Friberg | 22c | 203.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Petr Nesterov | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Karl Friberg | 16c | 139.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Karl Friberg | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Karl Friberg | 42c | 126.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Karl Friberg | 22c | 122.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Karl Friberg | 35c | 119.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Karl Friberg | 24c | 109.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Karl Friberg | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Petr Nesterov | 77c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Karl Friberg | 51c | 83.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Karl Friberg | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Petr Nesterov | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Karl Friberg | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Karl Friberg | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Karl Friberg | 36c | 55.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Karl Friberg | 28c | 52.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Karl Friberg | 39c | 50.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karl Friberg | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Petr Nesterov | 73c | 34.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Petr Nesterov | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Petr Nesterov | 79c | 27.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Karl Friberg | 42c | 26.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Petr Nesterov | 78c | 22.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Petr Nesterov | 52c | 21.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Petr Nesterov | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Petr Nesterov | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.