MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe234cb705e0b5bfc4b6c70b1a01e820473bac412ceebca994e248f6f7e7af17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 61c | 12,489$7,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 11,118$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 42c | 4,770$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 39c | 4,290$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.07 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,235$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 45c | 2,136$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.55 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,951$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Over | 56c | 1,250$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Under | 54c | 1,225$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.96 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 50c | 634.48$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 59c | 575$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.75 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 42c | 477.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 461$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 50c | 399$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 391$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 54c | 370.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.67 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Over | 42c | 311.64$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 60c | 282.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 60c | 282.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 42c | 272$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 42c | 236.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 45c | 203.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 27c | 188$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 40c | 183$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 130.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 60c | 129$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 55c | 126.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 65c | 126.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 52c | 116.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Over | 42c | 115.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Over | 60c | 105.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Over | 32c | 103.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 46c | 103.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 48c | 99.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 88.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 49c | 70.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Under | 71c | 66.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 29c | 65.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 67c | 62.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 46c | 62.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Over | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 39c | 53.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 51.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 52c | 51.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Under | 59c | 44.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 65c | 40.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…baf9backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 56c | 39.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 49c | 38.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 58c | 35.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 40c | 34.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Under | 47c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 62c | 27.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Over | 47c | 25.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Under | 55c | 23.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 52c | 22.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over | 52c | 21.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…a146backed Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 56c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.