MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd78e4f154398c3ac89f3f049951692957c8fd23e16e3487d56f578d84098f0a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 122,221$51,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,888.06 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 116,663$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,663.06 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 41,795$24,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,144.68 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 36,848$20,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,952.59 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 28,210$16,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,361.8 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 18,953$10,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,803.1 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 16,800$9,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,711.06 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 16,329$9,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,390.06 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 14,431$8,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,370 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 12,915$7,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,620.04 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 12,462$7,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,227.78 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 10,645$6,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,174.1 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 5,847$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.94 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 5,581$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.75 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 5,508$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.17 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 5,310$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.89 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 4,800$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,445$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.77 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 3,244$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.79 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,743$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.71 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,765$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.84 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,669$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.02 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,373$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.96 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 1,307$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.77 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 1,171$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.59 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,156$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.36 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 1,051$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.19 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.92 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 752$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.16 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 752$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.16 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 685.08$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.86 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 667.95$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.01 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 638.07$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.7 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 638.07$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.7 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 611.37$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.59 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 598$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.85 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 585$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.06 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 551.7$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 526$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.08 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 525$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 516.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 516.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 499.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.96 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 461$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 431.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 350.68$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 346.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 302$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 258.8$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 257.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 230.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 209.83$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 186.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 171.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 164.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 141.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 138$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 129.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 120.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 108$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 106.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 98.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 92.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 92.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 87.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 85.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 82.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 75.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…437fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 63.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…30b1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 46.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 40.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 36.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 246 | 44.7%110 W · 136 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 32.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 31.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 31.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 25.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.