MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x059c88e091daa1098c158d3a7c55e08875e546fa8984b1305eccdf6ef6145547
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Under | 31c | 13,655$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,474.15 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 37c | 10,029$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,271.79 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Under | 50c | 10,002$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 63c | 9,842$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.71 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 9,143$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 49c | 6,301$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.71 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 6,298$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 5,885$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Over | 67c | 5,370$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 45c | 4,800$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.66 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 4,043$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.38 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 53c | 3,780$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 47c | 3,287$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Over | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 2,930$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.98 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 2,721$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.01 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 45c | 2,539$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.91 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 1,726$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.66 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 50c | 1,365$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 42c | 1,336$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 1,312$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.1 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 46c | 1,139$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.71 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 58c | 1,025$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.64 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.47 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…5ce4backed Under | 58c | 973.52$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Over | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 49c | 609.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 48c | 593.04$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.43 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 521.4$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.16 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 471.83$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.63 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 65c | 432.31$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…ce6cbacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 53c | 367.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 58c | 284.48$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 52c | 280.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 53c | 250.34$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 49c | 248.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 32c | 218.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 53c | 216$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 48c | 189.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 52c | 188.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 53c | 188.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 59c | 187.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 183.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 49c | 182.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 146.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 55c | 136.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 19c | 134.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 46c | 130.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 129.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Over | 46c | 127.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 49c | 121.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Under | 50c | 108.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 14c | 108.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 104.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Over | 30c | 102.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Over | 54c | 92.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Over | 47c | 91.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed Over | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Under | 46c | 86.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Over | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 63c | 65.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 67c | 65.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 48c | 62.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 49c | 60.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…509cbacked Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 53c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 75c | 55.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…3acdbacked Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Under | 48c | 54.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 73c | 51.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 50.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 50c | 46.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Over | 60c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 70c | 41.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 38.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 37.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 55c | 34.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…f55dbacked Over | 52c | 34.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.