MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3baa050de8a5b85f14988107716b3d67d59faa46656b9bfba8546cfd55f6d85b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Cincinnati Reds, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 210,709$97,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,221.99 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 90,000$45,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,484.65 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 48,387$30,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,341.01 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 38,450$19,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,562.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 27,488$14,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,289.7 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 24,758$12,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,615.77 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 23,622$11,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,010.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 19,444$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 12,754$7,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 12,134$7,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 12,001$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.27 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 10,669$5,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 10,000$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 9,492$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.51 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 8,379$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.46 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 6,325$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.75 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 6,061$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.9 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 5,894$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.61 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 5,018$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.28 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 4,108$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 4,032$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.94 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 3,488$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.25 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 3,487$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,480$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 3,226$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.55 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,120$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 2,798$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.23 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,519$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.21 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,288$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.86 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,038$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,879$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.36 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,859$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,275$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,263$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.64 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,072$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.72 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,038$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,026$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 931$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.81 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 915.38$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.72 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 823.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 791.09$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 715$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.65 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 697.03$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.49 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 657$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.07 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 657$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.07 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 650.94$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.45 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 632.44$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 600$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 597$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 545$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.95 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 538.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 490$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 465.42$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 459.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 415.25$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 392.16$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 327.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 277$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.27 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 276$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 262.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 234.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 231.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 231.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 221.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 193.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 191.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 188.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 180.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 171.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.